Week 16: Worst to First – Fitzchize Wins Championship

Week 16: Worst to First – Fitzchize Wins Championship

Pictured:  Jordy Nelson and David Johnson celebrate the first championship for Fitzchize

Fitzchize continued its late season domination with their seventh straight week of over 197 points and 5th win in the last six weeks to complete their Worst-to-First journey with a resounding win in the championship game.  David Johnson and Jordy Nelson turned in superstar performances while Dez Bryant, Tom Brady and Matt Ryan also had good performances to put away the slumping Eagles.

Fly Eagles fly continued their late season swoon by posting the lowest score in the league in the game that counted the most.  LeSean McCoy, Mike Evans and Jamies Winston had respectable games, but the rest of the team fell flat.  This was the fourth straight week that the Eagles put up less than 170 points.

The Fitzchize Trophy
The Fitzchize Trophy

After finishing in last place for the past two years, Fitzchize bounced back in a big way this season.   After winning a 8 games over the past two seasons combined, Fitzchize responded with 11 wins this year (counting the championship victory).  They displayed incredible consistency throughout the year, with only two scores (weeks 7 and 9) below 195 points.  The next closest team in that category was the Killer Rabbits with 5 weeks below 195.

This week also made official the Fitzchise victory in total points, giving them a clean sweep of the major awards.  The Rabbit Killers had a huge week to solidify their hold on 2nd place and claim the final weekly prize of the season.

 

Final Accounting

Anand:  5 weekly wins($50), Championship  (110), 1st in total points (75) – 75 entry fee = +160

Jason: 3 weekly wins (30), Runner up (75) – 75 entry fee =+30

Terry: 2 weekly wins (20), 2nd in total points (30) – 75 fee = -25

Chris: 5 weekly wins (50) – 75 fee = -25

Doug: 1 weekly win (10) – 75 fee = -65

Dmitry: -75 fee

I suggest Doug and Dmitry pay their dues to Anand.  Terry can pay his to Jason, and I’ll split mine 20 to Anand and 5 to Jason.

Week 15: Super Bowl Preview

Week 15:  Super Bowl Preview

IMPORTANT NOTE:
Holy crap.
 In researching data to write this I came across something somewhat significant.  It doesn’t affect standings, or anything like that, but it does affect the money situation for a couple players.  In reviewing scores for the past few weeks I noticed that Jason had 1 point less in the system than what I had recorded.  It appears that the NFL released an official Stat correction for week 12 that changed one sack of Derek Carr to a -1 yard rushing attempt.  The Raiders were playing the Panthers that week, and that is who Jason had as his Defense, so his score was reduced by 1 point for one less sack.  Here’s the rub: in week 12 Jason had (we thought) barely squeaked past Anand for the high score of the week. But with this stat correction, Anand actually had the high score by .06 points 210.6 to 210.54.  That bumps Anand up to 5 weekly wins and drops Jason back down to 3. The stat corrections usually come out on Thursdays each week.  The one in question is listed on the Fantasy.nfl.com site if you have any questions.  Sorry it took so long for me to notice.

Not much to talk about after a relatively meaningless week 15.  The Super Bowl matchup was already set, so the games meant very little in the standings. Therefore I won’t dwell on them this week.

The Rabbits came back from the dead to claim their first weekly win since Week Six.   The Rabbits have had the overall high score in the league five times, and they are 2-8 in the other 10 weeks.

Other than the weekly win, the only thing still in play was the total points race. Fitzchize has a pretty firm grip on first place with more than a 100 point lead.  But there is suddenly some drama for 2nd place.  The Rabbit Killers remain in second, but their lead has been cut down heading into the final week.  By puttin up the high score of the week the Killer Rabbits have jumped back to 3rd place, less than 31 points behind.  The Rabbits outscored the Killers by 42 this week, so the gap is significant but definitely achievable.  The Eagles dropped down from third to fourth, an additional 28 points behind the Rabbits, so their hopes in the points race are dim at best.

Super Bowl Preview

On paper the big game looks like it should be a one-sided affair.

Fitzchize has dominated the league for the latter part of the season and has actually outscored the Eagles in each of the last 5 weeks.  Running back David Johnson has been the most reliable scorer in fantasy football this year.  To put his performance in perspective, his worst game of the season was 14.4 points in week 4.  If he had scored 14.4 points in his 15 games, he still would have been the #8 running back in the league.  Instead he often scored much, much more than that, topping 20 points 10 times and scoring over 30 points five times.  But strength across the board is the key for Fitzchize who also features #3 QB Matt Ryan, #4 WR Jordy Nelson, #1 Tight End Greg Olsen, #1 Kicker Justin Tucker, and #2 Defense Denver.

Fly Eagles Fly looked to be on the rise during the middle of the season, but they have tailed off considerably over the last few weeks. Over the last five weeks the Eagles have averaged less than 170 points per game – fourth in the league during that span.  LeSean McCoy and T.Y. Hilton have been the main bright spots down the stretch.  The Eagles will be looking for the likes of Antonio Brown, Mike Evans, and Marcus Mariota to return to their stellar mid-season form for one last game.

We only need to look back to last year to find hope for the Eagles.  Last season it was the Eagles who dominated the latter portion of the season, only to get crushed in the Super Bowl by an inferior foe.  It’s just one game, and anything can happen.

Week 14: Jingle Bell! Dashing Through the Snow

Week 14: Jingle Bell!  Dashing Through the Snow

Pictured:  Le’Veon Bell goes dashing through the snow in Buffalo

So last week there was all this drama about end-of-season scenarios and possible three-way tie breakers with coinflips and all that stuff.

Well, yeah.  None of that matters.  Terry lost, Anand and Jason both won and the Super Bowl pairing is set.  Regardless of what happens in week 15, the championship will be between Fitzchize and Fly Eagles Fly.  Feel free to rest your players this week, guys!

The points race still has a little drama left.  Anand has jumped out to an 87 point lead, which is actually the largest lead anyone has had all season by a significant margin.  Despite falling out of championship contention, Terry holds on to 2nd place, while Jason jumps up to third, about 30 points further adrift.  I dropped to fourth, more than 40 points behind Terry and am just clinging to a dream of maybe making up the 70+ points to finish in the money.  Keep in mind that total points scoring and weekly scoring goes through week 16 even for those out of the championship game.

Fly Eagles Fly 164.88, Boiled Bunnies 110.22

boiled-bunny1_zpsjsndtx9p
Looks like Glenn Close got to my team.

The Rabbit from Monty Python and the Holy Grail has been turned into the bunny from Fatal Attraction.  The team which had the top score in the league 4 of the first 6 weeks hasn’t topped 200 points in a month, and just set the record for worst single game score since the league re-formed in 2013. The Eagles didn’t really have any standout performances other than LeSean McCoy, but that was enough to annihilate the putrid Rabbits.

Fitzchize 199.22, The Klinks 154.44

Tom Brady and Matt Ryan once again led the way for Fitzchize, with Carlos Hyde, Jordy Nelson and Davante Adams pitching in as well.  The best player for the Klinks was Aaron Rodgers, but with Nelson and Adams on the other side, all his points were more than negated. Emmanual Sanders was the only other Klinker to top 20 points.  This is the 4th overall weekly win and 3rd in the past 4 weeks for Fitzchize, who has been running away with things to end the season.

Game of the Week
pUSHing Chains 151.76, Rabbit Killers 149.80

In a game that had remained neck and neck all day Sunday, The Rabbit Killers came in to Monday Night Football with a slim lead while pUSHing Chains still had Julian Edelman to play.  The game was still in doubt late in the game, but Edelman scored just enough to pull out the win.  The Rabbit Killers were carried almost entirely by Le’Veon Bell’s monster 50+ point performance in the snow.  But that wasn’t enough to stay ahead of the more balances scoring for The Chain Gang with Jeremy Hill, Tyreek Hill and Tyler Eifert having nice games to lead the way.

Week 13: Who Needs Luck When You’ve Got a Big Johnson

Week 13:  Who Needs Luck When You’ve Got a Big Johnson

As we wind down the last few weeks of the season things are starting to shake out, but there’s still a bit of uncertainty left.

The Rabbits officially join the Edgars and pUSHing chains as having been eliminated from Super Bowl contention.  Terry moves up into third place, and Jason is now in 2nd with only a game separating them, but Jason holds the 2-1 season series edge, so Terry must win two and Jason must lose 2 for Terry to take over 2nd.  Anand has a 2 game edge over Terry, but in that case Terry holds the head-to-head tiebreaker edge, so if Terry wins both his game and Anand loses both of his, Terry would knock Anand out of the championship game.

There is an unlikely, but nevertheless possible scenario where Anand loses 2 games, Jason loses 1 game, and Terry wins both of his games.  If that were to happen it would be a 3-way tie at the top with each team at 9-6.  But each of the three teams has finished the season series at 2-1 against one team, and 1-2 against the other, so they would all have a 3-3 combined head-to-head record against each other.  If that were to happen, the tiebreaker would go to total points scored across all three, with the lowest point total left out of the championship.

It is possible (again highly unlikely) that the total points could also end up in a tie for the final playoff position.  I think i used to have multiple additional tiebreakers defined, but if I did, they’re long gone, so if total points does not decide the outcome for the championship game, we will go with a coin flip (or some other randomly generated outcome).  That coin flip tiebreaker will ONLY apply for playoff eligibility.  The tied players would split the winnings for total points evenly.

Anand just squeaked out another weekly win, his 3rd of the season.  He extended his lead in the overall points race to nearly 38 points, while Terry moved up to 2nd with about a 33 point lead over me.  Jason dropped from 2nd to 4th, trailing me by 12, but more importantly trailing the 2nd (final paying) spot by 45.

Rather than get into full game recaps, here are a few quick-hitter thoughts

Fitzchize 222.04, Fly Eagles Fly 157.58

I wouldn't challenge David Johnson to a skiing contest. This is awesome.
Not only is he good at football.  He’s gonna kick your ass in the slalom too.
  • As implied in the title to this article, David Johnson is pretty good.
  • Andrew Luck and Joe Flacco both scored 4 TDs.  Both were on the Fitzchize bench. (Did you actually think the Jets could stop anyone?)
  • Eagles had 5 players score less than 4 points including two scoring zero.

Rabbit Killers 218.46, Killed Rabbits 192.38

  •  Elmer Fudd finally got his wish, killing off the Rabbits for this season.
  • I guess it’s duck season, especially if you saw some of Drew Brees’ throws for the Rabbits
  • No one for the Rabbit Killers scored over 25, but 7 players scored more than 18 points

pUSHing chains 146.98, The Klinks 135.40

  • 146.98 is the lowest score this season to win a game and both scores were among the eight lowest of the season.
  • You guys realize you don’t get a better draft pick next year if you finish in last, right?
  • Out of 26 starters in this game, only one player topped 20 points.